When
last we left the Museum, we ended Part One of "Vision Quest,"
in which eight doll retailers shared their thoughts about trends in
the New Millennium. Now, in Part Two, we continue with the final
nine.
Florida
native Celia Neadel, owner of Celia's and Susan's Dolls and
Collectibles, believed that fashion dolls would define the beginning
of the next century. As well as artists such as R. John Wright and
Jan McLean, Ms. Neadel held that doll manufacturers such as Effanbee
and Ashton Drake will continue to prosper in the coming years because
their dolls are so well-known for being of extremely high quality.
But
for Ms. Neadel, the future for dealers might be a little dimmer
thanks to online shopping and the Home Shopping Network. For her, the
worst result of this is "more, but weaker, dealers" in the
market. "Weaker" in the sense of "less knowledgeable":
in all areas of life, your best bet is to talk to an extremely
knowledgeable specialist when you need quality information. At any
rate, "Only the dealers who are smart enough to diversify their
business will survive."
Ann
Rozell, who owns The Doll House in Oklahoma, went only so far as to
say that vinyl dolls will be a hot trend, and that artists such as
Robert Tonner and Virginia Turner will continue to see high sales. I think
it's a shame that she didn't have more to say on the matter: so many
of the other dealers in the article have expressed more detailed
thoughts.
Danny
and Barrie Shapiro, who manage The Toy Shoppe in Richmond, VA, said
that there would be two big names to watch out for in the Third
Millennium: Lynne
and Michael Roche from
England; R.
John Wright from
America; and Regina
Sandreuter
from Germany, citing the creativity, craftsmanship, and beatuy of
their dolls.
Arthur
Weston of New Jersey maintained that fashion dolls such as Tyler
Wentworth will be the top sells in the 2000s. But he also
foreshadowed the mid-2000's nostalgia boom by proclaiming that
Tonner's Betsy
McCall and
Ann
Estelle would
be big sellers. He was right: there was a nostalgia boom, exemplified
(in somewhat more disposable manner) by the success of the recent
"Transformers" movies.
Rosalie
Whyel, manager of the Rosalie Whyel Museum of Doll Art in Washington
State, predicted that the doll market would see a return to the past.
Genuine antique dolls would sell very well, especially those made of
bisque, china, and wood. In newer trends, though, she stated that
cloth dolls would also be a good trend to follow. "Buy your
neighbor's dolls while you can still find them," she said. "One
day you may have to compete for them with the rest of the world."
Chicago's
own Gigi Williams, owner of Gigi's Dolls and Sherry's Teddy Bears,
was also in the fashion dolls camp. Her reasoning came not from the
quality of the artists, but from the idea that even mature collectors
can find the appeal in changing a doll's clothes every once in a
while. She also expressed some frustration at the tendency of
"one-of-a-kind" artists to price themselves out of business
with their one-of-a-kind dolls. She also wished that "we could
get the manufacturers not to manufacture so much, because this just
frustrates the collectors...You can still have their variety, just
don't have so much as the same thing."
California
retailer Pey Yuan didn't offer much in the way of specifics in his
answer. Instead, he somewhat cryptically alluded to "a lot of
up-and-coming new artists" who detail not only faces, but
unexpected things such as hands and feet. For this dealer, the
personality of a doll is key. "I think in the future, collectors
will be looking more closely at the artist's real work, not just his
or her name."
Finally,
New Jersey retailer Isobel Weill offered her perspective. Besides the
usual citation of Gene and Tyler Wentworth, she added, "We also
note a trend toward licensed dolls," offering Disney and Warner
Bros. as potential licensors.
ANALYSIS
Ah,
the optimism of the New Millennium Era shines through. Looking back,
of course, these seventeen doll-dealers were absolutely positive that
collectors would have plenty of money to spend on dolls. Of course,
everyone
had nothing but confidence that everything was looking up. Then, of
course, Enron was the first blow in just 2001. Every year thereafter
until 2013, this "Vision Quest" became steadily more bleak.
People stopped spending money on big-ticket luxury items such as
dolls and things....in fact, people stopped spending money on just
about everything. In that light, this article perfectly demonstrates
why I set up the Millennium Museum: to preserve even the faintest
glimmer of long-lost optimism. I've heard things are picking up
again, but I know for a fact that it won't be quite the same way
again.
"In
the morning, in the evening, ain't we got fun..."
May
12, 1999: Saul
Steinberg, renowned for more than 50 years of cartooning at The
New Yorker,
dies at age 84.
May
12, 2000: Elian
[Gonzalez] Case Opens on Far-Reaching Details
Good grief, what happened to my formatting?!
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